nA
realistic way to reduce aspirations
oFocus on what’s really important
nWhat’s
a catastrophe?
oIt has to be very serious
oMust have some numeric measure
▬Dollars, lives? Say $100B, 1000 for terrorism
▬Less controversial: Bound it by size of CCB
nMust
have a “threat model”: what can go wrong
oProbabilities must enter
oBut how?